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Despite climate threats, fall colors expected in full force

Aspen color change peak has begun at high elevations
Aspen trees and Gambel oak begin to change to fall colors on Missionary Ridge north of Durango in the burn area of the 2002 Missionary Ridge Fire. (Jerry McBride/Durango Herald file)

The vibrant shimmering leaves of Southwest Colorado’s aspen stands have begun to transition, once again, from summer’s green hues to fall’s trademark yellows, oranges and velvet reds.

As days fall shorter and the trees’ chlorophyll production dips, the green that shades the leaves fades, revealing a sequential panoply of colors.

Colors are expected to hit their peak in Southwest Colorado at the end of September and into the first week of October, although stands at higher elevations will generally turn sooner.

The U.S. Forest Service’s annual regional report on forest insect and disease conditions, released every March, noted that “Heavy defoliation was observed near Durango, Colorado near Purgatory ski resort,” in 2023. (Jerry McBride/Durango Herald)

Despite climate-related threats to the health of aspen stands, it is shaping up to be an excellent season for leaf peepers, foresters say.

“I think we’ll have a very good color change this year, based on some conditions, as far as a wet growing season, wet spring and summer, particularly,” said Ryan Cox, lead forester with the Colorado State Forest Service’s Durango Field Office.

This ranch, one of the most photographed places along U.S. Highway 550 north of Durango, once had the most beautiful aspen groves. The stands in the area have been defoliated by Western tent caterpillar but are making a comeback. (Jerry McBride/Durango Herald)

The recent cool nights followed by warmer days is expected to produce vibrant colors, he added.

In the early 2000s, researchers noticed landscape-scale dieback of aspen trees, a phenomenon named sudden aspen decline, or SAD. The trend was attributed to the trees’ heightened susceptibility to insects and pathogens brought about by drought conditions.

Although trees in certain pockets of the Southwest are still suffering, aspens are, by and large, in a relatively healthy state, said San Juan National Forest Forester Travis Bruch.

In stands near Purgatory Resort, Western tent caterpillars that cling to aspen branches have caused defoliation in places – but San Juan National Forest Forester Travis Bruch said the species’ population tends to swell and die off before causing widespread harm. (Jerry McBride/Durango Herald)

“For the most part, we don’t really see any SAD, or it’s in really small places at this point in time,” he said.

In stands near Purgatory Resort, Western tent caterpillars that cling to aspen branches have caused defoliation in places – but Bruch said the species population tends to swell and die off before causing widespread harm.

The U.S. Forest Service’s annual regional report on forest insect and disease conditions, released every March, noted that heavy defoliation was observed near Purgatory in 2023.

In general, trees stricken by drought are less resilient and cannot defend against pathogens and insects as well as they otherwise might.

A Western tent caterpillar makes its cocoon with eggs in it on the end of an aspen tree branch near the Needles area west of U.S. Highway 550. (Jerry McBride/Durango Herald file)

But stands are considered a single organism, and a hardy one at that. The trunks of trees in a single stand grow from one root system, making each a clone with the same genetic composition. And even when pathogens or insects wipe out a clone’s trunks, the root systems will sometimes still survive and regenerate with force if given adequate moisture.

“It’s not something that, you know, we expect to kill tens of thousands of acres of aspen,” he said. “But I mean, all in all, when you go around and look at the aspen, it’s in decent health.”

Fall colors status

The San Juan National Forest maintains an online tracker of where colors are peaking. According to observations from Sept. 25:

San Juan Skyway

Durango to Purgatory: Minimal

Purgatory to Coal Bank: Patchy

Coal Bank to Molas Pass: Partial to Near Peak

Molas Pass to Silverton: Near Peak

Silverton area: Peak

Silverton to Red Mountain Pass: Near Peak to Peak

Red Mountain Pass to Ouray: Near Peak to Peak

Ouray to Telluride (Dallas Divide): Patchy

Telluride to Lizard Head Pass: Partial

Lizard Head Pass to Rico: Partial

Rico to Dolores: Patchy

Mancos Area: Partial

Other Areas

Pagosa Springs: Minimal to Patchy

Missionary Ridge: Partial

La Plata Canyon: Patchy

The SJNF maintains an online tracker of where colors are peaking for visitors who flood the region’s highways to get a glimpse.

Stephanie Weber, the executive director of the San Juan Mountains Association, is urging visitors to be smart.

“Please don't stop in the middle of the highway,” she said. “Please find a pull off. Don't impede traffic.”

rschafir@durangherald.com



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