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Do you really need to apply to that many colleges?

By balancing risks against one another during the college application process, students can minimize the number of applications he or she has to complete.

WASHINGTON – Seniors in high school are losing their minds filling out college applications. The number of students applying to at least seven colleges has more than tripled since 1990, according to one survey.

The biggest factor behind the trend is likely that students and their families have little way of accurately assessing the quality of the education a school offers. A vague notion of prestige or exclusivity is the metric that many students seem to base their decisions on. Many decide to apply to several to try to increase the odds of getting into one.

But they actually may be playing their odds incorrectly.

Counselors typically advise seniors to develop lists of “safety” schools, “reach” schools and schools somewhere in the middle. For the staff members of Parchment, a company that provides a range of services to college-bound seniors, that strategy often isn’t the best one.

Matthew Pittinsky, the CEO, compares applying to college to assembling a portfolio of financial investments.

By balancing risks against one another, students can minimize the number of applications he or she has to complete.

“You can actually have a portfolio weighted toward ‘stretch’ schools, and still have a surprisingly high degree of confidence that you will be accepted to at least one school on your list,” Pittinsky said.

If you’re applying to selective schools, you can’t eliminate the chance that you are rejected everywhere. Each additional application you complete contributes less and less to your chances of getting in somewhere. That additional application is only useful to you if none of your others are accepted – which, if you already have done several, is less likely.

If your goal is to get into the most highly selective institutions no matter what, you might decide to apply to quite a few anyway. But if you’re not qualified, you’re not qualified. And selectivity is not always the best indicator of a school’s quality, so you could be wasting your time.

On Parchment’s website (www.parchment.com) seniors applying to college may sign up for help in figuring out how many schools to apply to. They give the company a list of schools they’re considering. They also complete a detailed questionnaire.

The company then estimates the probability that the student will get into each school, based on where demographically and academically similar students have been accepted in the past.



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