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October arrives with heavy rain showers; more expected this week

Forecasters say above-average moisture likely through the month
Forecasters say there’s a 60% chance of rain Monday afternoon and a 20% chance of showers Monday night in Durango. (Durango Herald file)

Heavy showers dumped 0.75 inches of rain Saturday night and Sunday morning in Durango, and more is expected in coming days, according to the National Weather Service in Grand Junction.

The showers are a result of a weather system moving down from Wyoming and Idaho, said Dennis Phillips, meteorologist with the NWS.

The moisture will likely stick around through Monday in Durango, and throughout the week in the San Juan Mountains with the possibility of snow at 10,000 to 11,000 feet in elevation.

Pagosa Springs also received about 0.75 inches of rain Saturday night and Sunday morning.

Pagosa Springs has a 70% chance of rain before 3 p.m. Monday and a 60% chance of rain Tuesday with showers expected to start sometime in the early afternoon.

Montezuma County received about a half inch Saturday night, and there was a 60% chance of moisture Monday.

The seven-day forecast shows a 60% chance of precipitation Monday in Durango, which will likely start around 3 p.m.

Phillips said the weather will likely be dry later in the week, but the chance remains good for precipitation throughout the month.

“The chances for above-average precipitation are probably better than not, so it looks like October could continue to be wet,” he said.

While October shows signs of being wetter than average, Phillips said the long-term winter forecast shows signs of lacking above-average precipitation.

“The bad news is the general outlook is not as good through the winter,” Phillips said. “The northern part of Colorado has better chances of seeing normal- or above-normal precipitation, and, unfortunately, the Four Corners and southern Colorado have lower chances of seeing average precipitation.”

Temperatures are expected to be in the upper 60s throughout the week in Durango, a high of 70 degrees Tuesday through Thursday in Cortez and the mid-60s this week in Pagosa Springs.

tbrown@durangoherald.com

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