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Wildfire could be bad in California in 2016

San Juan National Forest districts expect fire season to be fairly typical
A firefighting plane drops a load of fire retardant over a smoldering hillside in Middletown, Calif. in September 2015. The nation’s primary wildfire-fighters are getting ready for the 2016 season, which is expected to be worse than average in Hawaii, Alaska and parts of the Southwest.

California could face a dangerous and difficult wildfire season in 2016 despite a relatively wet winter, federal officials warned Tuesday.

Most of the rest of the nation is expected to see an average summer, but even that means thousands of wildfires, U.S. Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack said after a briefing from the U.S. Forest Service, which is part of his department.

In Southwest Colorado, San Juan National Forest districts are reviewing readiness for the approaching fire season but expect it to be fairly typical. Columbine District Ranger Matt Janowiak said his district will be assessed by a third party on Thursday to ensure all engines, vehicles and crews are fully prepared.

“We’re meeting with La Plata County emergency management, fire chiefs with the Upper Pine River Fire Protection District and the (Durango & Silverton Narrow Gauge) railroad on how we’ll engage fire, keep the firefighters safe, what the season looks like in the long-term forecast, and what kind of resources we have available,” Janowiak said.

Janowiak said the San Juan National Forest and regional Bureau of Land Management offices are prepared to offer their resources elsewhere if needed. Right now, the regional fire forecast looks typical, he said.

“We’ll have a little more moisture in next week or so, and June is supposed to be our typical dry month,” he said. “Monsoon season is starting in mid-July, and it will be a weak monsoon season, so we’re not going to get huge moisture and downpours, but we will get some rain.”

Between the Forest Service and BLM, the region’s firefighting resources include three fire engines in Dolores, a Durango-based hot-shot crew, helitack crew, initial attack crews and a Type 1 Wildland Fire Module for managing backcountry fires.

In California, a five-year drought has left 40 million dead and dried-out trees, including 29 million that died last year alone, Vilsack said.

“This creates a tremendous hazard, potential hazard, for fires and firefighting this year,” he said.

An El Niño weather pattern brought near-normal snowfall to parts of California last winter, but its forests need much more rain and snow to recover fully from the drought, Vilsack said.

Forest Service Chief Tom Tidwell said Southern California didn’t benefit from the El Niño as much as the state’s northern mountains.

Tidwell and Vilsack said the Forest Service – the primary federal wildfire-fighting agency – has 10,000 firefighters ready nationwide, along with more than 350 aircraft and 900 fire trucks.

Wildfires are increasing in number and intensity, and the wildfire season has grown by 78 days since 1970, Tidwell said.

Last year, wildfires burned a record 15,800 square miles. Seven Forest Service firefighters died and 4,500 homes were damaged or destroyed.

Vilsack and Tidwell said climate change was responsible for the worsening fires.

“This is not weather,” Tidwell said. “This is climate change. That’s what we’re dealing with.”

Vilsack and Tidwell’s warnings about the 2016 season largely echoed what forecasters at the National Interagency Fire Coordinating Center said two weeks ago when they issued their outlook for the summer months.

They said Hawaii, Alaska, California and other parts of the Southwest face an above-average threat. The potential for significant fires will be below average for much of Texas, the South and the southern Midwest, they said.

Sounding frustrated and impatient, Vilsack repeated his plea Tuesday for Congress to pay the cost of fighting the worst fires from disaster emergency funds, not the Forest Service budget.

The Forest Service says the largest 1 or 2 percent of wildfires account for about 30 percent of the costs.

Firefighting consumed more than half the Forest Service budget last year, draining money from forest management and other programs, Vilsack said. Fires will soon eat up two-thirds of the agency’s budget, he said.

“Congress has an affirmative responsibility and duty to fix this problem,” he said.

Rep. Rob Bishop, R-Utah, chairman of the House Natural Resources Committee, said money alone isn’t enough. He said environmental regulations and lawsuits keep the Forest Service from culling enough fire-prone trees from the forests.

Herald Staff Writer Jessica Pace contributed to this report.



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